[ANALYSIS] Iranian War Day 96: US-Iran contacts continue as military exchanges escalate across the Gulf
OVERVIEW
- Military exchanges escalated across the Gulf, with Iran and the US reporting strikes against each other's assets.
- US President Trump said reports that US-Iran communications had stopped were false and that conversations had continued continuously.
- US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran has mined large segments of the Strait of Hormuz, while negotiations remain highly technical and complicated.
- Lebanon ceasefire talks continued, although key differences remain unresolved.
MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS
- Explosions were heard near Qeshm Island in Iran.
- Kuwait said its air defences intercepted hostile missile and drone attacks.
- Reports stated two US bases in Kuwait were targeted, with explosions reported at Ali al-Salem and Arifjan.
- Kuwait’s General Civil Aviation Authority said an emergency plan at Kuwait International Airport was activated after Terminal 1 was targeted by Iranian drones and missiles.
- Air raid sirens sounded in the UAE and Saudi Arabia.
- Explosions were reported in Saudi Arabia.
- Explosions were heard in Qamishli, Syria.
- Earlier reports noted explosions in Iraqi Kurdistan targeting the headquarters of anti-Iranian separatist groups.
US
- US CENTCOM said Iran launched several ballistic missiles toward neighbouring countries.
- CENTCOM said US forces defeated multiple Iranian missiles.
- CENTCOM said US forces conducted self-defence strikes against an Iranian military ground control station on Qeshm Island.
- CENTCOM said three Iranian one-way attack drones targeting civilian maritime traffic were shot down.
- CENTCOM denied IRGC claims that Iran successfully struck the Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain or a US airbase in the region.
- CENTCOM said all Iranian attacks on US forces failed.
- CENTCOM said US aircraft disabled a Botswana-flagged oil tanker attempting to sail toward an Iranian port by striking its engine room with a Hellfire missile.
IRAN
- IRGC said the US attacked Qeshm Island and that Iran responded with precise and intensive missile strikes on US bases in Kuwait.
- IRGC warned that any further US aggression would be met with a seismic, crushing and decisive response.
- IRGC said the headquarters of the US Fifth Fleet in Bahrain was attacked by missiles and drones.
- IRGC said it targeted a US-affiliated vessel named Panaya with missiles.
- IRGC said the attack was retaliation for the US targeting an IRGC communications tower on Qeshm Island.
- An Iranian senior political source told Amwaj Media that communication with the US through intermediaries had not stopped.
- The source said Qatar and other regional intermediaries were working intensively to prevent a renewed escalation linked to Lebanon.
- Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Gharibabadi said Iran would take proportionate measures if Israel continues strikes in Lebanon.
NEGOTIATIONS
- US President Trump said communications between Washington and Tehran remain ongoing.
- Trump said reports that Iran and the US stopped speaking were false and that conversations had been ongoing continuously.
- An Iranian senior political source cited by Amwaj Media said there had been no halt in communications through intermediaries.
- The source said activity across several diplomatic tracks suggested significant developments could be approaching.
- US Secretary of State Rubio said nuclear negotiations are highly complicated and technical and will take time.
COMMENTARY
- Trump said, “Where they lead, one never knows, but as I told Iran, ‘It’s time, one way or another, for you to make a Deal.’”
- ABC News reported Trump is pushing Iran to make firmer nuclear commitments and wants nuclear concessions in writing.
- US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran has mined large segments of the Strait of Hormuz.
- Rubio said the war with Iran has made interactions with Tehran more complicated.
- Rubio also stated that the “war in Iran is over”.
- The US issued fresh Iran-related sanctions.
ISRAEL / LEBANON
- Sky News Arabia, citing a Lebanese source, reported that Israel and Lebanon had not yet reached decisive points regarding a ceasefire.
- Sources said US forces would train and equip the Lebanese army.
- An Israeli official said there was American approval for Israeli forces to remain inside the security zone in southern Lebanon.
- The official added that there were not necessarily restrictions on Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon.
- Hezbollah said it would not accept a partial ceasefire deal with Israel.
- Hezbollah carried out a drone strike on an Israeli command post in southern Lebanon, reportedly wounding eight Israeli soldiers.
- Israeli artillery shelling was reported in the town of Blat in southern Lebanon.
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