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12 May 2026 · 10:27

US Market Open: Starmer vows to stay on and fight; USTs softer as US CPI awaits

UK PM Starmer said he will not be setting out a timetable for departure. This came after over 81 Labour MPs calling for the PM to resign, enough to launch a leadership challenge.European bourses are entirely in the red, with UK Banks hit on political turmoil; US equity futures pull back fr

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12 May 2026 · 06:00

EU Market Open: USD and crude continue to firm on geopolitical updates, GBP underperforms on leadership worries, US CPI ahead

US President Trump said he has a plan on Iran and repeated that their proposal is unacceptable, while he added that the US blockade on Iran was part of military genius.US President Trump said the ceasefire is unbelievably weak and is on life support, but added that a diplomatic solution with Iran is

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11 May 2026 · 10:01

US Market Open: US equity futures little moved despite lack of US-Iran progress

US President Trump rejected Iran's response to the peace plan, which he called totally unacceptable.Iran's proposal was said to have stressed the need for the US to pay compensation for war damages and emphasised Iran’s sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Brent initially climbed above USD 10

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11 May 2026 · 05:45

EU Market Open: Europe primed for muted open, Crude benchmarks climb after US rejects Iran's peace proposal

Iran submitted its response to the latest proposal by the US to end the war; state media later reported that the US proposal amounted to Iran surrendering to Trump’s excessive demands.US President Trump rejected Iran's response to the peace plan, which he called totally unacceptable.Iran's proposal

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8 May 2026 · 13:28

Newsquawk Week In Focus 11-15th May 2026: Highlights include US Inflation and Retail Sales, Chinese inflation, BoJ SOO and Trump-Xi meeting

SAT: Chinese TradeMON: Chinese Inflation (Apr), Norwegian Inflation (Apr)TUE: BoJ SOO (Apr), IEA STEO (May), EU Informal Meeting of Energy Ministers (May 12-13), Japanese Household Spending (Mar), German HICP Final (Apr), Italian Industrial Production (Mar), German ZEW (May), US Inflation (Apr)WED:

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8 May 2026 · 09:56

US Market Open: Crude pares initial strength after Trump suggests the ceasefire remains in place following US-Iran clashes, NFP report ahead

The US military has carried out strikes in Iran's Qeshm port and Bandar Abbas, according to Fox News, citing a US official, who said it is not a restart of the war. Iran's military said the US violated the ceasefire.US President Trump said the Iran ceasefire is still on and that the US is negotiatin

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8 May 2026 · 05:55

EU Market Open: Crude pares gains as US plays down strikes on Iran; UK Ruling Labour set to suffer local election losses, GBP resilient

The US military has carried out strikes in Iran's Qeshm port and Bandar Abbas, according to Fox News, citing a US official. The official said this is not a restart of the war or the end of the ceasefire.The US military said US forces intercepted Iranian attacks and responded with self-defence strike

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7 May 2026 · 10:08

US Market Open: Crude slips amid reports of a potential Strait of Hormuz breakthrough, US equity futures modestly firmer

Al Arabiya reported that "the coming hours will witness a breakthrough for the situation of the ships stuck in the strait", spurring pressure in the crude complex.Iran is expected to provide its reply to the US proposal for ending the war to mediators on Thursday, according to CNN, citing a regional

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7 May 2026 · 06:00

EU Market Open: DXY, Equities, Crude unchanged, awaiting Iranian response to US proposal

Iran is expected to provide its reply to the US proposal for ending the war to mediators on Thursday, according to CNN, citing a regional source. US President Trump is optimistic about the Iran framework, and that the timeframe is one week, Fox reported. US President Trump could turn to mi

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6 May 2026 · 10:25

US Market Open: US and Iran reportedly close to an MoU to end the war, Axios reports; crude hit, stocks at highs

Crude & USD dented, equities & fixed bid after Trump paused Project Freedom and more recently as Axios reports that the US & Iran are closing in on an MOU to end the conflict.Brent below USD 101.50/bbl, ES +0.7%, DAX 40 +2.5%, EUR/USD above 1.1770, Bunds firmer by over 80

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6 May 2026 · 05:55

EU Market Open: Energy pressured, stocks bid on Trump's Project Freedom pause, JPY intervention speculation continues

Energy was pressured by Trump announcing a pause to Project Freedom, though the blockade remains.To the benefit of fixed income and G10 FX against the USD. USD/JPY slumped to a 155.03 low.APAC equities benefited from the above; US and European futures point to a constructive open. NQ leads post-AMD.

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5 May 2026 · 10:10

US Market Open: US equity futures gain, DXY flat whilst the AUD lags post-RBA; US ISM Services ahead

US President Trump said the war could go on for another two to three weeks; time is not of the essence.US officials say the military is closer to resuming combat operations than 24 hours ago, Fox reported.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi posted, "As talks are making progress with Pakistan's graciou

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5 May 2026 · 05:30

EU Market Open: Europe primed to open a touch lower as it digests Monday's geopolitics; RBA hikes in 8-1 vote, AUD weaker

US President Trump said the war could go on for another two to three weeks; time is not of the essence.US officials say the military is closer to resuming combat operations than 24 hours ago, Fox reported.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi posted, "As talks are making progress with Pakistan's graciou

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4 May 2026 · 10:25

US Market Open: Trump says US is to "guide" ships through the Strait, though Iran threatens attacks on those attempting to enter

US President Trump posted on Sunday that the US will guide neutral ships safely out of the Strait of Hormuz under “Project Freedom”, beginning Monday morning Middle East time.An Iranian official said any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a vi

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4 May 2026 · 05:45

EU Market Open: Europe primed for a firmer open with UK on Bank Holiday; USD/JPY continues to chop, oil a touch lower

US President Trump posted on Sunday that the US will guide neutral ships safely out of the Strait of Hormuz under “Project Freedom”, beginning Monday morning Middle East time.An Iranian official said any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a vi

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1 May 2026 · 13:05

Week In Focus: 3rd - 8th May: Highlights include US NFP, ISM Services PMI, RBA, Canadian jobs and OPEC+

SUN: OPEC+MON: Holiday: UK May Bank Holiday, Holiday: Japan's Greenery Day, Turkish Inflation (Apr), Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr), US Factory Orders (Mar)TUE: RBA Policy Announcement (May), BCB Minutes (Apr), Holiday: Japan's Children's Day, Swiss Inflation (Apr), US Building Permits Final (Mar),

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1 May 2026 · 09:45

US Market Open: JPY breaches Thursday low in potential further intervention, bourses in thin trade amid holiday, US futures lacklustre

Conditions in Europe thin amid Labour Day, FTSE 100 dragged by NatWest and AstraZeneca.US equity futures are modestly mixed. Apple (+2.8%) gains after strong results, driven by iPhone sales; SanDisk (-6.1%) dips despite a strong Q3 report.DXY is a touch lower; USD/JPY sank to a 155 handle, potential

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1 May 2026 · 06:16

EU Market Open: DXY rebounds, US equity futures helped by strong AAPL results; Europe set to be quiet amid Labour Day

US President Trump said Iran is dying to make a deal and stated that Iran cannot be nuclear-armed. He added that he doesn't know if the ceasefire with Iran needs to be broken, but "we may do".The US may allow Israel to target Iran's energy facilities if negotiations fail, according to Channel 12 cit

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30 Apr 2026 · 10:25

US Market Open: USD/JPY pressured after Katayama/Mimura verbal intervention, NQ outperforms after tech earnings

US CENTCOM is to brief US President Trump on new plans for potential military action in Iran on Thursday, Axios reported, citing sources. The plan includes a short and powerful strike, potentially targeting infrastructure to break the nuclear issue deadlock.The Axios report initially lifted the crud

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30 Apr 2026 · 05:54

EU Market Open: DXY vaults 99.00, Crude boosted on Axios report that US was considering further Iran strikes

US CENTCOM is to brief US President Trump on new plans for potential military action in Iran on Thursday, Axios reported citing sources. The plan includes a short and powerful strike potentially targeting infrastructure to break the nuclear issue deadlock.The FOMC held rates at 3.50-3.75% as expecte

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29 Apr 2026 · 10:20

US Market Open: Crude benchmarks climb, Equites firm on NXPI earnings, Fed/BoC/BCB, AMZN, GOOG, META, MSFT ahead

Trump has told officials to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran, WSJ; Trump said they are doing very well in the Middle East.An update that lifted energy briefly overnight and while the move pared into the European morning, benchmarks are at fresh highs with WTI peaking just below USD 104/bbl.T

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29 Apr 2026 · 06:15

EU Market Open: Europe set for modestly firmer open after a slew of earnings, USD and Brent firm a touch on WSJ report

Trump has told officials to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran, WSJ; Trump said they are doing very well in the Middle East.APAC equity performance incrementally improved across the session, with outperformance in the Hang Seng & Shanghai Composite.USD rangebound, lifted briefly on the WSJ

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28 Apr 2026 · 10:10

US Market Open: NQ underperforms, DXY rises in tandem with Crude & BoJ shows hawkish vote split

US President Trump is reportedly not satisfied with and is unlikely to accept the Iranian proposal; CNN reports that the US and Iran are not as far apart as they seem.BoJ maintained its policy rate as expected, though subject to a hawkish 6-3 vote split, dissenters highlighted upside risks to inflat

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28 Apr 2026 · 06:10

EU Market Open: JPY outperforms after BoJ's hawkish 6-3 hold, Crude +1.5% amid geopolitical updates

US President Trump is reportedly not satisfied with and is unlikely to accept the Iranian proposal; CNN reports that the US and Iran are not as far apart as they seem.BoJ maintained its policy rate as expected, though subject to a hawkish 6-3 vote split, dissenters highlighted upside risks to inflat

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27 Apr 2026 · 10:10

US Market Open: Global stocks mixed, crude firms and DXY lower after reports Iran communicated a three-stage negotiating process to the US

Iran communicated a three-stage negotiating process to the US; 1) focus on ending the war and receiving guarantees, 2) then on the Strait of Hormuz, 3) and finally on nuclear issues.The US cancelled sending Witkoff & Kushner to Pakistan, suggesting it was a waste of time; Trump is to hold a situ

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