BCB holds rates at 13.75% as expected; decision unanimous
Newsquawk Staff ·
- Current scenario is marked by a substantially contractionary Selic rate, a significant increase in uncertainty surrounding the reference scenario and higher inflation expectations
- Current scenario is also marked by a more pronounced deceleration of domestic economic activity
- This presents a challenging scenario for monetary policy, requiring serenity and caution in its conduct
- Committee will continue to monitor developments to keep monetary policy adequately restrictive to ensure inflation converges to the target
- Continues to monitor how developments in domestic fiscal policy impact monetary policy and financial assets, reinforcing its cautious stance in a scenario of heightened uncertainty
- Recent indicators of economic activity remain consistent with a trajectory of deceleration for the full year of 2026
- Risks to inflation, both to the upside and to the downside remain higher than usual, with an upward asymmetry.
Sources
- Italy sells EUR 5.25bln vs exp. EUR 5-5.75bln 3.00% 2029, 3.35% 2033 BTP & EUR 1.5bln vs exp. EUR 1-1.5bln 4.10% 2046 BTP Green
- UK sells GBP 4bln 4.125% 2033 Gilt: b/c 3.52x (prev. 3.4x), average yield 4.993% (prev. 4.761%) & tail 0.2bps (prev. 0.2bps)
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