Board of Peace is considering abandoning its phased framework for Hamas’s disarmament amid Israeli pushback to the US-controlled body’s original plan, a source directly familiar with the negotiations told The Times of Israel on Monday
Newsquawk Staff ·
- "Instead of having Hamas hand over weapons in phases, with Israel conducting corresponding withdrawals, source said another option being weighed by BoP would see Hamas hand over all of its weapons throughout Gaza & only then would IDF have to pull back troops to Gaza border".
- "While the shift could be enough to get Israel on board, it risks losing the support of Hamas, after the Board of Peace spent months coaxing the group to accept the phased disarmament plan."
What it means
Sequenced disarmament-for-withdrawal frameworks in this theatre have a long history of collapsing at the stage-setting step: the party asked to disarm first typically refuses, and the party asked to withdraw first cites that refusal as grounds to hold position. Moving to an all-weapons-first structure shifts the entire burden of proof onto Hamas before any Israeli concession, a design that has historically been acceptable to Israeli negotiators and unacceptable to armed groups whose leverage is the weapons themselves. The reported risk that months of coaxing are undone by the redesign is the familiar pattern in ceasefire mediation, where each side's assent is contingent on the other's sequencing and a change to the order of operations restarts the negotiation rather than advancing it. The 'US-controlled body' framing matters: frameworks shepherded by a single dominant sponsor have tended to hold only while the sponsor applies sustained pressure on both parties, and attention centres on whether Washington leans on Hamas through its intermediaries or treats the shift as settled. The watch items are Hamas's formal response, any counter-proposal restoring phased sequencing, and whether the existing ceasefire terms hold while the disarmament track is renegotiated, since breakdowns in the diplomatic track have historically preceded renewed kinetic escalation. For markets the established transmission in such episodes runs through regional risk premia, crude, shipping insurance and the shekel rather than broad risk.
Sources
- Week in Focus 26-30th October 2026: FOMC, BoC, RBNZ, ECB, BoJ Policy Decisions, US PCE
- US Midterm Preview: Democrats Favoured to Flip the House, Senate Too Close to Call
- US President Trump says we’re close to ending, I hope, the Russia-Ukraine war
- White House says President Trump has further modified Canadian products subject to tariffs under Section 338; tariff changes will take effect on 30th October 2026
- US President Trump, on Iran, says we may do another operation against Iran; doubts Iran will say ‘let’s get down to business’
Related headlines
- US President Trump says the US will turn its attention to Cuba after dealing with Iran, telling a rally in Florida that “we’ll take care of Cuba on our way back from Iran”8 hours ago
- Iran’s IRGC says two tankers struck naval mines while trying to use an unauthorised route south of the Strait of Hormuz, Tasnim reports8 hours ago
- Foreign Ministers of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan say ‘Israeli occupation is the main source of instability in the region and beyond’, according to a statement9 hours ago
- CRUDE WRAP: WTI (Z6) SETTLES USD 3.80 HIGHER AT USD 103.27/BBL; BRENT (Z6) SETTLES USD 3.55 HIGHER AT USD 116.72/BBL9 hours ago
- Citi says it remains neutral on copper until more energy-market and tariff clarity emerges; views any associated risk-off episodes as good long-term buying opportunities9 hours ago
- Iran and Russia to hold talks in Moscow next week, Mehr reports10 hours ago
- US Ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack says US could strike Iran as soon as this weekend, AFP reports citing an interview on Israeli radio10 hours ago
- Iran has developed plans to target undersea communications cables in the Gulf if the US and Israel launch further attacks, according to two officials speaking to Reuters11 hours ago
- Russia's Kremlin says Russian and Ukrainian militaries are working to determine dates for ceasefire talks13 hours ago
- Ukraine President Zelensky says a team level meeting between the US, Russia and Ukraine has been agreed for the first half of November13 hours ago
- UKMTO received a time-late report that a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile 7NM northeast of Limah, Oman; in reference to an incident on October 2213 hours ago
- US President Trump says "we could end the Iran war very quickly", adds "do we want to finish it or let it within is the question"13 hours ago
- US President Trump is set to speak with UK PM Burnham this afternoon on the Russia-Ukraine situation, BBG reports13 hours ago
- Turkish FM says nobody approves another attack on iran, diplomacy is the only way, following a meeting with European counterparts13 hours ago
- Senior Ukrainian Official says that a ceasefire in Russian-occupied Oleshky is to be established soon13 hours ago