BoC Governor Macklem says if new US tarifffs remain in place, Q4 growth could be roughly halved to below 1%

Newsquawk StaffPublished 21 Sept 2026, 15:25 UTCOn the live feed at 15:05 UTC — 4 more headlines followed before this page went public

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15:12

BoE Breeden says it is a question whether regulation is set up for AI

15:07

US President Trump, to Fox TV, says very big things are going to be happening in the not-so-distant future on Iran

15:05

BoC Governor Macklem says if new US tarifffs remain in place, Q4 growth could be roughly halved to below 1%

15:00

Mexico President says the government is looking for ways to reduce imports from other nations and buy more goods from the US

14:57

USTR Greer says Boeing (BA) is making progress on finalizing 200 Chinese airplanes order announced earlier in the year, via Fox Interview

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If oil prices stay near USD 100/bbl, we'd expect inflation to edge up in coming months.
Fuel prices have risen more than we'd normally expect, reflecting damage to global refining capacity.
Recent gas prices have been more consistent with an oil price almost USD 40 higher than where it has been.
So far we haven't seen evidence that higher oil prices are spreading to other goods and services.
We don't want to raise rates and restrain growth if inflationary pressures are contained.
When it comes to rate decisions, we need to look beyond initial shock of higher oil prices.
Nor do we want to be too slow to respond if inflationary pressures are becoming more persistent.
There is growing evidence that many Canadian businesses have started to adapt to US tarrifs.
Expects that growth in labor force will be close to zero over the next few years

Fixed Income · last 90 days

Recent headlines that moved markets

FIXED INCOME/4 Sept · 12:30 UTC

US Non Farm Payrolls (Aug) 162K vs. Exp. 56K (Prev. 21K); 2-month net revision +55k; Birth-Death 154K.

- UST futures, after we published−0.4%

In an immediate reaction to the healthy jobs market report: ES futures fell whilst the probability for a 25bps Fed hike at the next meeting rose to ~65% from just under 50% pre-data.

FIXED INCOME/4 Sept · 12:30 UTC

US Non Farm Payrolls (Aug) 162K vs. Exp. 56K (Prev. 21K); 2-month net revision +55k; Birth-Death 154K.

- UST futures, after we published−0.4%

FIXED INCOME/3 Sept · 12:48 UTC

Fed Governor Waller (Voter) Q&A: With CPI and PPI in hand, have a pretty accurate view of PCE inflation; there is little cost to waiting one meeting.

10yr UST futures, after we published+0.1%

FIXED INCOME/25 Aug · 19:26 UTC

A ceasefire between the US and Iran has been agreed upon, it includes free navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and will be announced in the coming days, reports Ria citing Pakistani and Iranian sources

10yr UST futures, after we published+0.1%

ENERGY/18 Sept · 06:01 UTC

Source close to the Iranian negotiating team says Tehran has informed Washington, via intermediaries, of its conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with the minimum conditions based on the “Islamabad understanding”, according to Al-Akhbar.

Brent crude, after we published−1.1%

ENERGY/17 Sept · 12:07 UTC

A high-ranking source told Al Mayadeen that Saudi Arabia has asked the Sultanate of Oman to request a two-week truce from the Houthis, during which discussions will be held to address the humanitarian situation, reports Al Mayadeen.

- Brent (Z6), after we published−0.9%

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