BoC Governor Macklem says inflation is too high, inflation is very concentrated in gasoline and oil prices; risks are shifting, prepared to adjust monetary policy as needed

The historical read on supply-driven, fuel-concentrated inflation is that policymakers tolerate it in the near term but react if it feeds expectations and second-round wage and price-setting, so the operative phrase here is the prepared-to-adjust language paired with data dependency, which keeps optionality in both directions rather than signalling a single path. Remarks of this kind from a single official tend to reprice the front of the Canadian curve only at the margin; what has historically moved it durably is whether the language marks a shift from prior communications or merely restates the existing stance, and whether the broader council echoes it. The distinction worth drawing is between tolerance of an energy-led headline overshoot and a warning about breadth, since one leaves policy on hold and the other steepens the reaction function. The follow-ons are the next CPI prints, particularly core and breadth measures, any commentary from other governing council members, and how the remarks sit against prevailing market pricing for the next decision. As commentary rather than a decision, the signal is directional.