BoE MPS (Apr): end-2026 Bank Rate seen at 3.75% (3.25% in Feb. survey)
The latest BoE MPS indicates an upward revision of the end-2026 Bank Rate forecast from 3.25% to 3.75%.
Iranian Foreign Minister says he spoke with counterparts of Turkey, Egypt, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Azerbaijan
US BROKER MOVES: RBLX upgraded at TD Cowen despite earnings selloff; PSKY double upgraded at Morgan Stanley
BoE MPS (Apr): end-2026 Bank Rate seen at 3.75% (3.25% in Feb. survey)
Pentagon to expand Nvidia (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT) AI use in secret networks, Bloomberg reports; Defense department also strikes deal with AWS (AMZN) and Reflection AI; entered agreements with SpaceX, OpenAI, Google (GOOG)
Exxon Mobil (XOM) says if the Strait of Hormuz were to open on May 1st, an additional 350k BOE should be added to quarterly production estimate
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- 89% of respondents expected a hold in April, 9.8% a 25bps hike to 4.00%.
- 67% of respondents expected a hold in June, 24.7% a 25bps hike to 4.00%.

This suggests a potential shift in the Bank's stance towards a more hawkish outlook, reflecting inflationary pressures that could impact the monetary policy trajectory. The overwhelming expectation for a hold in April, with only a small percentage anticipating a hike, signals cautious sentiment among market participants ahead of the decision.
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