BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida (post-policy press conference) says Japan's economy has moderately recovered, although some weakness have been seen in part
Economy:
- Risk of significant economic slowdown appears to have decreased compared with some while ago.
- Japan's economy has been developing generally in-line with the baseline scenario.
- Financial conditions have been accommodative.
Inflation:
- There is a risk of underlying inflation deviating upward to a level above the price target.
- Important for inflation to stabilise around the 2% level.
FX:
- FX has a larger impact on prices than in the past.
- Board discussed FX at every meeting, given its impact on the economy and prices.
- FX could affect underlying inflation.
- Will conduct policy whilst assessing how FX affects prices.
Wages:
- Base salary gain is to stabilise around the mid-3% level this year.
- Wage-price mechanism has taken root.
Interest Rates:
- Real interest rates have been negative mainly in short- and medium term zone.
- Will examine the likelihood of realising the baseline scenario, as well as risks, when considering the timing and pace of policy adjustment.
- Will continue to raise the policy rate in response to developments in economic activity, prices and financial conditions.
- Decided to hike rates today based on both the main economic scenario and risks.
- Will conduct monetary policy appropriately to avoid falling behind the curve.
- Need to make judgement on rate hike pace based also the upward risk to prices.
Ueda:
- Cannot reveal Ueda's view.
- Ueda's broad view remains the same as he has discussed before.
- His hospitalisation is short-term, as such, does not see impact on monetary policy conduct.
- Does not think Ueda's absence has a big impact.
Neutral Rate:
- Neutral rate estimates are too diverse to be useful for monetary policy.
- Can only think about when to reach neutral rate, as and when, we raise rates.
BoJ-Govt Accord:
- The rate hike decision is aligned with the government's economic policy.
Middle East:
- Various moves seen in the Middle East situation are desirable.
- Uncertainties remain on the recovery pace of logistics.
- Need to pay close attention to how Middle East developments affect financial and FX markets, as well as Japan’s economy and prices.
- He will continue to look at the impact of the Middle East situation when asked about the pace of future rate hikes.
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