BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida (post-policy press conference) says Japan's economy has moderately recovered, although some weakness have been seen in part

Economy:

  • Risk of significant economic slowdown appears to have decreased compared with some while ago.
  • Japan's economy has been developing generally in-line with the baseline scenario.
  • Financial conditions have been accommodative. 

Inflation:

  • There is a risk of underlying inflation deviating upward to a level above the price target. 
  • Important for inflation to stabilise around the 2% level.

FX:

  • FX has a larger impact on prices than in the past.
  • Board discussed FX at every meeting, given its impact on the economy and prices.
  • FX could affect underlying inflation.
  • Will conduct policy whilst assessing how FX affects prices.

Wages:

  • Base salary gain is to stabilise around the mid-3% level this year.
  • Wage-price mechanism has taken root.

Interest Rates:

  • Real interest rates have been negative mainly in short- and medium term zone.
  • Will examine the likelihood of realising the baseline scenario, as well as risks, when considering the timing and pace of policy adjustment.
  • Will continue to raise the policy rate in response to developments in economic activity, prices and financial conditions.
  • Decided to hike rates today based on both the main economic scenario and risks.
  • Will conduct monetary policy appropriately to avoid falling behind the curve.
  • Need to make judgement on rate hike pace based also the upward risk to prices.

Ueda:

  • Cannot reveal Ueda's view.
  • Ueda's broad view remains the same as he has discussed before.
  • His hospitalisation is short-term, as such, does not see impact on monetary policy conduct.
  • Does not think Ueda's absence has a big impact.

Neutral Rate: 

  • Neutral rate estimates are too diverse to be useful for monetary policy.
  • Can only think about when to reach neutral rate, as and when, we raise rates.

BoJ-Govt Accord:

  • The rate hike decision is aligned with the government's economic policy.

Middle East:

  • Various moves seen in the Middle East situation are desirable.
  • Uncertainties remain on the recovery pace of logistics.
  • Need to pay close attention to how Middle East developments affect financial and FX markets, as well as Japan’s economy and prices.
  • He will continue to look at the impact of the Middle East situation when asked about the pace of future rate hikes.
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