Brazil finance minister Durigan says overcoming inequality requires confronting interest‑rate issues
Newsquawk Staff ·
- Government is prepared to undertake fiscal measures in the next term at a scale equal to those in the current term.
- Government will maintain fiscal rules and limit mandatory spending.
- Lowering interest rates could reverse country's debt trajectory.
What it means
Public pressure from a Brazilian finance minister on the central bank over the level of rates is a long-running feature of the local macro landscape rather than a novel development; successive administrations have paired rhetorical appeals for lower rates with fiscal commitments designed to argue that monetary easing is affordable. The operative question is always sequencing: when fiscal consolidation has credibly led, the central bank has historically had room to cut, and when rate demands have run ahead of the primary balance, the Selic has stayed high and the currency and long end have absorbed the strain. The pledge to maintain fiscal rules and cap mandatory spending is the standard offer, and its credibility rests on execution against a budget where a large share of spending is constitutionally locked in, which is precisely where past promises have tended to erode. The link drawn between lower rates and the debt trajectory is mechanically real, given how much of the debt stock carries floating-rate linkage, but it cuts both ways since premature easing has historically re-anchored inflation expectations upward and steepened the curve. The tells are the details of the promised fiscal measures, congressional appetite for spending restraint, and whether central bank communication shifts in response or pushes back. As ministerial commentary rather than policy, the immediate signal is political, with the fiscal package the first concrete test.
- Hungary's PM Magyar says the 2027 budget is to target 4.9% GDP shortfall
- Hungary PM Magyar says to cut income tax on minimum wage to 9% next year; Income tax will fall for more than 2mln taxpayers next year, at a cost of HUF 250bln
- Brazil's Bolsonaro and Lula tied in the latest Presidential runoff poll, Bloomberg reports
- Brazil's Finance Minister Durian says CPI is under control, but high rates are still a problem; Brazil interest rates need to come down
- Brazil Finance Minister Durigan says they commit to meeting fiscal target midpoint and achieving growing primary surpluses
Related headlines
- Meta (META) employees acknowleged in internal communication that President Lula's accounts were affected by restrictions during the Brazil election, according to Folha4 days ago
- Brazil's Bolsonaro is seen with 45.6% of votes vs Lula's 44.5% in the Presidential runoff, according to a CNT/MDA poll4 days ago
- MSCI implements a freeze on MSCI Turkey Indexes and consults on proposal to reclassify Indonesia from Emerging Market to Standalone Market Status5 days ago
- Brazil's Senate approves constitutional amendment reducing the six-day work week in first required vote6 days ago
- Turkey is set to allow the TRY to fall quicker, Bloomberg reports, in order to avoid potential future devaluation risks6 days ago
- Brazil is proposing the forgiveness of USD 2.5bln equivalent of entrepreneur debt7 days ago
- Brazil's Finance Minister announces additional measures on fuel amid the Middle East conflict; announced measures to extend and broaden gasoline-related tax cutsOct 09
- Brazil's Bolsonaro leads with 53% of votes vs Lula's 47% in the run-off poll, according to an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg pollOct 09
- PRE-MARKET INDIAN STOCKS NEWS: Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IS) Q2 (INR) net rose 7.6% Y/Y to 138.84bln, rev. rose 11.2% Y/Y to 731.88bln, declared a second interim dividend of INR 12/shr for FY27Oct 09
- Third-place finisher in Brazil election endorses Bolsonaro for runoff against President LulaOct 08
- Datafolha poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 49% of votes vs 45% for President Lula in runoffOct 08
- Brazil President Lula reportedly eyes centrist running mate Alckmin as next finance minister in election runoff pivotOct 05
- [MARKET UPDATE] BRL soars upon re-opening on Bolsonaro's first-round election lead; Brazil interest rate futures sharply lower Oct 05
- Brazil's President Lula says unexpected result and he was convinced he would win election in first round, adds a new campaign begins from tomorrow, while Bolsonaro says he is very happy with the results and that Brazil wants changeOct 05
- Flavio Bolsonaro has 49.58% of the votes, while President Lula has 42.25%, with 64.81% of ballots counted in the Brazilian Presidential ElectionOct 04