Indian Infrastructure Output (Jul YY) 5.4% (Prev. 5.0%)

India's core infrastructure output is the eight-industries measure that feeds into the wider industrial production print, so its significance has historically lain less in the standalone number than in its read-across to IIP and to the RBI's growth assessment at a time when policy has been balancing above-target growth against a sticky disinflation path. An acceleration on the previous reading, in isolation, fits the pattern of a series that has run firm through recent cycles on government capital expenditure in coal, steel, cement and power, the components that dominate the index and tend to swing it. The distinction that matters for rates is whether firmness is concentrated in the capex-linked components, which the central bank has treated as consistent with its tightening-then-hold stance, or broad-based, which has historically carried more weight in the policy debate. With no consensus attached to the headline, the surprise element is unclear, and Indian macro prints of this tier typically move the INR and front-end rates only at the margin absent a large deviation. The follow-ons are the IIP release that this series leads and the RBI's own commentary around its meeting calendar.