Canadian Manufacturing Sales Prel (Aug MM) 1.1% (Prev. -0.4%)
A preliminary manufacturing sales print of this size is a swing back into positive territory after a contraction, the kind of one-month reversal that Statscan's advance estimate has historically smoothed on final revision.
Canadian Manufacturing Sales Prel (Aug MM) 1.1% (Prev. -0.4%)
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Preliminary manufacturing reads sit low in the Canadian data hierarchy; the Bank of Canada reaction function is driven by the CPI releases and the quarterly business outlook, with monthly factory sales feeding GDP tracking rather than policy directly. The channel for any market response runs through CAD and the front of the Canadian curve via Q3 growth assumptions, and in past episodes of this kind the move has faded within the session absent confirmation from the goods trade and wholesale components. Worth noting the tag set here references French retail names that bear no relation to the release, so the wire metadata should be disregarded. The follow-on is the final print and any revision, which on previous occasions has been the larger signal than the flash.
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