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ECB's de Guindos says key for June rate decision will be whether Strait of Hormuz is open

The ECB's de Guindos highlighting the Strait of Hormuz as a key factor for the June rate decision signals increased vigilance on geopolitical risks, particularly related to energy supply flows.

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Context

If tensions in this region escalate, it could impact inflation dynamics and growth forecasts, potentially leading to a more cautious stance from the ECB. Traders should watch for how this influences market pricing on ECB policy and the euro's performance against competing currencies.

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