Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says if the Fed was ever going to skip an SEP, this would have been a good one

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Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says inflation overshoot mainly from goods and tariffs; growth has been solid, economy is doing well; unemployment little changed since September, and there is a low breakeven rate for jobs

Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says the long-term thinking is to look through energy shocks, but that also depends on inflation expectations

Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says if the Fed was ever going to skip an SEP, this would have been a good one

Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says no one knows the economic impact of the Middle East conflict; says 'we just don't know' what effects energy rise will have on consumers' consumption and disposable income

Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says part of the oil shock is in the forecast for higher inflation, but also, Fed has not seen the hoped for progress on lowering prices

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Context

Fed Chair Powell's comment suggesting that skipping a meeting would have been appropriate indicates a more dovish stance than markets may have anticipated. This may signal potential flexibility in monetary policy, which could affect expectations for future rate hikes, influencing asset classes including the USD and fixed income. Traders should watch for volatility in the forex markets as anticipation builds around the Fed's next steps.

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