Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says the long-term thinking is to look through energy shocks, but that also depends on inflation expectations

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  • Says oil companies will want to see consistent rise in oil prices, and believe its persistent, in order to increase production
  • Not seeing that happen now, but it could happen over time
  • Net of oil shock will be some downward pressure on spending and employment, and upward pressure on inflation

Context

Fed Chair Powell's remarks highlight a longer-term perspective on energy shocks and their impact on inflation expectations. The emphasis on consistency in oil prices reflects concerns over spending and employment, suggesting a cautious outlook on economic growth. This could influence the Fed's policy stance, particularly if inflation pressures persist, affecting USD and fixed income markets.

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