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Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says the upside risks and downside risks to employment have diminished, but still exists; hard to say if mandate risks are fully in balance

Fed Chair Powell's remarks indicate a nuanced view on the balance of risks to employment, suggesting some stabilization but acknowledging uncertainties remain.

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Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says the upside risks and downside risks to employment have diminished, but still exists; hard to say if mandate risks are fully in balance

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  • Short-term market based inflation expectations has fully retraced, and that is comforting
  • Longer-term expectations reflect confidence in a return of inflation to 2% target
Context

The confidence in inflation returning to the 2% target, combined with fully retraced short-term expectations, signals a cautious optimism for policy outlook. This could support current rate paths, but will be closely watched for influences on market sentiment, particularly in fixed income and FX markets.

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