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Fed's Bowman (voter) says progress on lowering inflation has stalled, would consider a shift in the policy outlook if war-driven inflation broadens

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Fed's Bowman (voter) says progress on lowering inflation has stalled, would consider a shift in the policy outlook if war-driven inflation broadens

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  • It was good for the Fed to keep an easing bias in the April 29 policy statement.
  • The US economy has remained resilient despite labour market fragility.
  • Want more clarity on the war's impact on the economy.
  • The longer the Middle East war continues, the greater the risks to inflation.
  • An extended energy shock would pressure inflation later this year.
  • Fed's current "moderately restrictive" policy is aimed at aiding jobs and lowering inflation.
  • Optimistic that the end of the war will bring lower energy prices.
  • Reacting to a temporary energy shock could weigh on the economy.
  • Fed can look through an energy shock if it remains credible on monetary policy.

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