Fed's Hammack (22026 voter) says price stability is responsibility of central banks; inflation remains elevated amid solid output demand; inflation risk tilted towards the upside; supply shocks a notable challenge for Fed policy right now
Fed's Hammack (22026 voter) says price stability is responsibility of central banks; inflation remains elevated amid solid output demand; inflation risk tilted towards the upside; supply shocks a notable challenge for Fed policy right now
ECB's Radev says the ECB is not on a pre-determined path. Reiterates ECB risk language around growth and inflation.
US President Trump says September's S&P Global Flash PMI report shows impressive growth
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Commentary of this kind from a sitting voter tends to matter less for its individual author than for what it signals about the committee's centre of gravity; a single hawkish voice moves the front end at the margin, but a clustering of such remarks around the same framing has historically been the tell for where the median is drifting. The notable elements are the explicit upside tilt on inflation risk and the emphasis on supply shocks, which is the harder case for policy: supply-driven inflation is the scenario in which central banks have historically debated how much demand compression to deliver against output that is already described as solid, and framing of this sort has tended to argue against near-term easing. The distinction worth drawing is between rhetoric that merely describes elevated inflation and rhetoric that assigns it a direction of risk; the latter is the stronger signal and is what this carries. Follow-ons are whether other officials adopt the same upside-risk language in coming appearances and how this sits against the prevailing pricing of the path at the front of the curve rather than against any single data print. As commentary rather than a decision, the read is directional and hawkish, but voter status is what gives it weight.
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