Fed's Schmid (2028 Voter) says that his primary concern is inflation, which is "too hot"

Energy:

  • Warns against viewing the oil shock as transitory.
  • The US economy is less exposed to an energy shock relative to the past.
  • US energy producers are not moving to invest in more production so far.
  • Surging oil is weighing on spending power.

AI:

  • There is some evidence AI is depressing hiring but not driving firing.

Economy/Inflation:

  • Most data points to continued economic growth.
  • Main focus is on getting inflation back to the 2% target.
  • The Fed must signal commitment to lowering inflation.
  • He places little stock in believing the recent inflation jump is transitory.

Labour Market:

  • The job market is in balance, buoyed in part by healthcare hiring.
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