German institutes to cut 2026 economic growth forecasts amid the Iranian war, Reuters sources suggest; 2026 growth outlook seen at 0.6% (prev. 1.2%), 2027 growth seen at 0.9% (prev. 1.4%)

The downward revision of Germany's growth forecasts for 2026 and 2027, stemming from the impacts of the Iranian war and rising energy costs, highlights a deteriorating economic outlook.

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German institutes to cut 2026 economic growth forecasts amid the Iranian war, Reuters sources suggest; 2026 growth outlook seen at 0.6% (prev. 1.2%), 2027 growth seen at 0.9% (prev. 1.4%)

French HICP Prelim. Y/Y 1.9% vs. Exp. 1.90% (Prev. 1.10%, Low. 1.5%, High. 2.1%)

French Inflation Rate YoY Prel (Mar) Y/Y 1.7% vs. Exp. 1.6% (Prev. 0.9%, Low. 1.4%, High. 1.8%)

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  • CPI is seen at 2.8% for 2026 and 2027.
  • Iranian war and energy costs were cited as the reasons for the cuts.
Context

This cut from 1.2% to 0.6% for 2026 suggests potential headwinds for GDP, likely influencing policy considerations and market sentiment in Europe as inflation expectations remain anchored at 2.8%.

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