HP (HPQ) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 0.83 (exp. 0.66), Revenue 15.7bln (exp. 14.1bln)

Outlook

  • Q4 adj. EPS 0.69-0.79 (exp. 0.67).
  • FY adj. EPS 3.19-3.29 (exp. 3.05).
Context

A simultaneous beat on both lines with raised forward guidance sits at the cleaner end of the earnings playbook; in comparable prints of this kind the initial repricing has tended to hold better than in beat-on-EPS-only releases, where the revenue shortfall often caps the move. The distinction that matters here is whether the revenue upside reflects genuine unit demand or pricing and mix, since the former carries through to the peer set (printer and PC makers, component suppliers) while the latter does not. HP's segments behave differently: the PC business is volume- and cycle-driven and tends to be read against the broader hardware replacement cycle, while printing is a margin-rich annuity where the installed-base and supplies trajectory matters more than the quarter itself. The gap between the implied Q4 run rate and the full-year raise is worth noting, as it indicates how much of the upgrade is back-half loaded. The follow-ons are the call commentary on channel inventory, supplies attach rates, and any read-across to enterprise hardware spending, plus whether the beat survives the margin line rather than being bought with pricing.

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