Iran General Abdollahi warned the "US and the Zionist regime that previous blows were only the beginning of the events, and in case of any new calculation error, strikes far more deadly await them." adding, "this is a credible threat..."

Iran General Abdollahi warned the "US and the Zionist regime that previous blows were only the beginning of the events, and in case of any new calculation error, strikes far more deadly await them." adding, "this is a credible threat..."

Rhetoric of this kind from senior Iranian military figures is a recurring feature of the regional tension cycle, and crude has historically priced it through the geopolitical risk premium in the front of the curve rather than through outright supply assumptions. The distinction that has mattered is between verbal escalation and actual disruption: WTI tends to bid on threatened action against shipping or infrastructure, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, and fade on rhetoric alone once no kinetic follow-through materialises. Prior episodes have shown the premium building quickly and unwinding just as fast when the threatened escalation fails to arrive. What is worth watching is whether this translates into movement against tanker traffic, Gulf infrastructure, or US assets in the region, and whether freight and insurance costs begin to reprice alongside flat price. As a headline rather than an event, the transmission channel is risk premium, not physical flows.