Iran says US struck Khuestak in Southern Hormozgan, Fars reports
Direct US strikes on Iranian territory sit at the escalation end of a well-worn pattern in this theatre, where exchanges have historically cycled between proxy attacks, strikes on maritime assets, and occasional direct state-on-state action before both sides have sought an off-ramp.
Residents report air defences activated in eastern Tehran, reports Tasnim
TREASURY WRAP: T-NOTE FUTURES (Z6) SETTLE 9 TICKS LOWER AT 107-20
Iran says US struck Khuestak in Southern Hormozgan, Fars reports
US FX WRAP: Dollar gains on US/Iran tensions to detriment of G10 peers
Some Arab sources report that an explosion was heard in Jordan, Fars reports; several explosions were heard from American bases in Jordan
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What has mattered in comparable episodes is less the initial strike than whether the response targets energy infrastructure or shipping, since it is the threat to tanker transit through the strait, via insurance costs, freight rates, and the risk premium in the crude curve, that transmits into markets rather than the military exchange itself. The location, in the province adjoining the strait, puts that channel in view even absent any confirmed damage to oil facilities. Attribution of the report to Iranian state media is also relevant: early accounts in these episodes have historically been revised, denied, or recharacterised, and the sequencing of confirmation, casualty claims, and any official US acknowledgment tends to set the pace of the next moves. The established follow-ons are any IRGC or US Central Command statement, tanker tracking and war-risk insurance repricing, and whether regional states signal involvement. Until targeting of energy or maritime assets is established, prior episodes of this kind have tended to see the initial risk premium partially retraced once the exchange is contained.
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