Iran will not restrain itself in responding to new attacks from the US and Israel, TASS reports, citing a senior source; Iran will demonstrate "unexpected" technical means and equipment during new attacks on the country

Rhetoric of this kind from Iranian officials, pledging unrestrained retaliation and teasing unspecified capabilities, is a recurring feature of escalation cycles with the US and Israel and has historically mattered less for its content than for where it sits in the action-response sequence. The established pattern is that crude carries a geopolitical risk premium into weekends and ahead of expected retaliation windows, with the front of the WTI curve and call skew reacting first, while the dollar and yen bid only when rhetoric converts to kinetic events; verbal threats alone have tended to fade. The distinction worth drawing is between signalling aimed at deterrence and signalling that precedes an actual strike: the former typically resolves in premium bleed once the feared move fails to materialise, the latter shifts attention to Strait of Hormuz transit risk, insurance and freight costs, and any threat to export infrastructure. The reference to unexpected technical means is a standard element of Iranian deterrence messaging rather than verifiable new capability. Worth noting is the sourcing through Russian state media, which adds a layer of interpretation risk. The tells are any movement of forces, airspace or shipping advisories, and whether the US or Israel acknowledge or pre-empt, rather than further statements from Tehran.