Iranian Civil Defence says it has raised readiness levels at 46 facilities in anticipation of attacks on infrastructure, Al Arabiya reports; Raising readiness levels includes oil refineries, power plants, ports, bridges, and airports

In past episodes of heightened Iran-Israel or Iran-US tension, the sequencing has tended to run from civil defence and military readiness notices, through rhetoric from senior officials, to either a strike-and-response exchange or a negotiated de-escalation. The breadth of the facility list here, spanning refineries, power, ports and airports, indicates anticipation of infrastructure targeting rather than a narrow military exchange, which is the configuration that has historically carried the most direct commodity transmission through crude supply risk premia, tanker insurance rates and freight. The channel worth distinguishing is precautionary pricing versus actual disruption: markets have repeatedly faded readiness-driven risk premia when no kinetic event followed, while episodes that progressed to strikes on energy infrastructure or shipping saw sustained moves in crude and Gulf product flows. The follow-ons that matter are whether the adversary's posture shifts in parallel, whether military assets are visibly repositioned, and any movement in Strait of Hormuz transit or insurance pricing. As a state media report relayed through a regional outlet, the signal is intent and posture rather than imminence.