Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf says if Iran cannot sell oil, no one in the region will sell oil, and warns that if Iran’s security is not ensured, no infrastructure will be safe, ISNA reports

Rhetoric of this kind from senior Iranian officials is a recurring feature of pressure cycles with Washington and its regional partners, and it has historically intensified around sanctions enforcement, export curbs, or military posturing rather than appearing in a vacuum. The formulation itself, tying Iran's ability to export crude to the security of all regional energy infrastructure, is a familiar template: it invokes the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf export facilities as implicit leverage without committing to any action. Past episodes of similar language have tended to lift the geopolitical risk premium in crude modestly and briefly, with the effect concentrated in the front of the oil curve and in freight and insurance costs for Gulf transit, while sustained repricing has required physical disruption rather than words. The distinction that matters is between rhetorical escalation, which has usually faded, and any follow-through in the form of tanker seizures, attacks on infrastructure, or harassment of shipping, which historically is what has moved spreads durably. Worth noting is who is speaking: the parliament speaker rather than the IRGC or the foreign ministry, which in prior instances has placed such remarks in the category of domestic signalling as much as operational intent. The follow-ons are whether the language is echoed or hardened by military or diplomatic channels, any change in tanker traffic behaviour through the strait, and the sanctions or enforcement backdrop that prompted it.