Iran's IRGC denied reports of an explosion in eastern Tehran, saying no explosion or security incident had occurred, Fars reports

Denials of this kind are a familiar late stage in the Iran headline cycle: an unconfirmed report of an explosion or strike in Tehran circulates, crude picks up a risk premium, and an official IRGC or state media rebuttal then unwinds part or all of the move. The established pattern is that the premium attaches fastest to the front of the WTI and Brent curves and to call skew, and fades quickly when the denial is specific and no imagery or independent confirmation follows, whereas episodes where denials were later contradicted have seen the premium rebuild at larger scale once evidence surfaced. The distinction that matters is between an outright denial of any incident and a narrower denial of its cause, since the latter has historically left room for escalation headlines. Fars and IRGC statements carry the usual caveat that they are conflict-adjacent sources and have, in past episodes, preceded rather than precluded confirmation. What tends to settle these cases is whether foreign wire services, satellite or geolocated footage, or Israeli or US officials corroborate anything within the following hours; absence of corroboration has typically meant full retrace by the next session.