Iraq’s oil exports have reached 2mln BPD since the beginning of August, according to the state news agency INA

Iraqi export figures of this kind are tracked less for the headline volume than for what they say about OPEC-plus compliance: Iraq has historically been one of the group's less disciplined members, and episodes where its exports run above quota have tended to precede compensatory-cut pledges that are announced more often than fully delivered. The figure worth reconciling is the split between southern shipments through Basra and northern flows via the Turkey pipeline, which has been halted in past disputes over payment and legal arbitration; whether this total includes any resumed northern volumes changes what it signals about quota adherence. State news agency tallies also often differ from tanker-tracking and secondary-source estimates, the latter being what OPEC uses for compliance accounting, so the follow-on is how this print sits against independent flow data and the monthly secondary-source assessments. The transmission channel is physical supply into an already watched balance, feeding directly into prompt Brent spreads and the sour crude complex given the grade mix Iraq ships. On the calendar, the next OPEC-plus meeting and any Iraqi compensation schedule updates are the events that turn a flow print into a policy signal.