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IRGC official says "today we not only possess power but also the will to use power"; "if the enemy wants to commit the slightest folly again, we will deliver an unprecedented blow", Al Mayadeen reports

Newsquawk Staff ·

IRGC official says "today we not only possess power but also the will to use power"; "if the enemy wants to commit the slightest folly again, we will deliver an unprecedented blow", Al Mayadeen reports.

What it means

Statements of this kind from senior IRGC figures are a recurring feature of the Iranian deterrence playbook: maximalist language delivered through regional media outlets aligned with Tehran, timed to signal resolve without committing to action. Episodes of this sort have historically split into two cases: rhetorical posturing that fades within sessions, and signalling that precedes a calibrated response, and what has separated them is less the language itself than concurrent indicators such as force posture changes, back-channel diplomacy, and whether state media and the supreme leader's office echo the same framing. Al Mayadeen as the carrier is itself part of the message, an outlet Tehran has used repeatedly to place warnings on the record. The relevant transmission channel when these episodes do escalate has run through crude and product markets first, via the risk premium on Gulf transit, freight and insurance costs, and only secondarily into broader risk assets; absent follow-through, that premium has tended to bleed back out. Worth watching is whether the remarks coincide with any movement around ongoing diplomatic tracks or retaliatory cycles with Israel or the US, and whether shipping and options markets begin pricing disruption rather than rhetoric. As verbal escalation without an accompanying act, the historical base rate favours the non-event outcome, though the tail in this theatre is fat enough that desks have historically kept hedges cheap rather than zero.

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