Israeli source says an additional round of strikes against Iran seems to be a matter of time, Al Hadath reports

Sourced signals of intent ahead of Israeli-Iranian exchanges have followed a recognisable pattern: an initial risk-off move on the threat itself, oil and gold bid and haven currencies firmer, followed by a partial retracement once the actual strike proves bounded and retaliation is telegraphed rather than open-ended.

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An Israeli source says "we do not see a real chance of reaching an agreement between the United States and Iran", Al Hadath reports

Israeli source says they will strike Iranian nuclear facilities again if Iran crosses the red lines, Al Hadath reports; this would be with or without US involvement

Israeli source says an additional round of strikes against Iran seems to be a matter of time, Al Hadath reports

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed falters once again as Iran talks about potentially expanding the scope of the war

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  • Adds that Iran is intensifying the transfer/fortification of the Natanz nuclear project.
Context

The market's established distinction is between strikes on nuclear and military infrastructure, which have historically been absorbed within sessions, and anything touching energy export capacity or shipping, where the crude risk premium has tended to persist. The Natanz detail matters because fortification activity shortens the window in which a strike is judged effective, which is the logic that has driven the tempo in past rounds. Sourcing through a single unnamed official via regional media is itself a tell: such placements have often served as signalling rather than leaking, and their reliability has varied. What separates noise from escalation in these episodes is the follow-on: force posture changes, US positioning, and any Iranian response timetable rather than the rhetoric itself. The transmission channels to watch are the front of the oil curve, gold, and the yen and franc against the dollar, which have been the consistent first movers in comparable episodes.

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