[MARKET ANALYSIS] Asia-Pac stocks are mixed as participants look to potential US-Iran talks in Islamabad

The mixed performance of Asia-Pac stocks reflects caution among investors regarding the upcoming US-Iran talks, with significant uncertainty around the participation of Iran and the timing of negotiations.

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Japan is to permit its companies to export lethal weaponry for the first time, in a landmark break with its pacifist stance, according to FT

Iran’s Foreign Ministry condemned the seizure of Iranian cargo ship Touska by US forces and called for the “immediate release of the Iranian vessel, its sailors, crew and their families”, according to CNN

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Asia-Pac stocks are mixed as participants look to potential US-Iran talks in Islamabad

PRE-MARKET INDIAN STOCKS NEWS: JSW Steel (JSTL IS) has signed a joint venture agreement with South Korea’s POSCO (005490 KS) to set up a 6mtpa greenfield steel plant in Odisha

Japan sells JPY 249.8bln in 20yr, 30yr and 40yr JGBs in enhanced liquidity auction; b/c 3.58 (Prev. 3.18)

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APAC Stocks: Mixed

  • Asia-Pac stocks are mixed with the region mostly cautious amid uncertainty regarding US-Iran talks ahead of the ceasefire expiry, as there were numerous conflicting reports on when they will occur and if Iran will take part. Nonetheless, the latest relevant headlines provide some optimism, with sources stating that the US and Iran are expected to reach an agreement by Wednesday and that Pakistan's PM is to ask for a two-week ceasefire extension, while there remains no official confirmation from Tehran about attending talks.

ASX 200: -0.3%

  • Trades subdued with the index dragged lower by weakness in health care, energy, mining and financials.

Nikkei 225: +1.0%

  • Rallied to back above the 59,000 level with upside facilitated by tech strength and expectations for the BoJ to refrain from hiking rates at next week's meeting.

Hang Seng & Shanghai Comp: Hang Seng Flat / Shanghai Comp -0.3%

  • Chinese markets are contained amid earnings releases and mixed performance in the tech sector, while markets failed to benefit from the recent pledge by China's state planner head that officials will help actively increase effective domestic demand and will further enhance supply chain resilience.

US Equity Futures: Marginally positive

  • US index futures remain afloat in rangebound trade as markets await US-Iran talks.

European Equity Futures +0.3%

  • Indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.2% on Monday.
Context

Optimism has been tempered by the lack of official confirmation from Tehran, suggesting that while some markets may price in potential agreements, a failure to materialize could lead to volatility in equities, commodities, and currency markets.

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