[MARKET ANALYSIS] Asia-Pac stocks begin the week mostly higher in holiday-thinned trade and following the post-NFP unwinding of Fed rate hike bets
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[MARKET ANALYSIS] Asia-Pac stocks begin the week mostly higher in holiday-thinned trade and following the post-NFP unwinding of Fed rate hike bets
China's YMTC expects the NAND shortage to persist another three years, according to The Wire China
[CALENDAR UPDATE] US President Trump will deliver remarks in Nebraska at 18:00CDT on Monday (19:00EDT/00:00BST)
On the Newsquawk feed at , 20 minutes before this page.
APAC Stocks: Mostly higher
- Asia-Pac stocks begin the week mostly on the front foot in holiday-thinned conditions and following the gains last Friday on Wall St, where stocks were underpinned as Fed rate hike bets were unwound in a knee-jerk dovish reaction to the weak jobs data.
ASX 200: +0.2%
- Ekes marginal gains but with upside, with miners, materials and healthcare helping keep the index afloat, although gains are limited amid weakness in utilities and consumer stocks.
Nikkei 225: +2.5%
- Rallied with the index reclaiming the 70,000 level amid strength in tech stocks, which seem to also benefit from the holiday closure in South Korea.
Hang Seng -0.3%
- Lags amid the continued absence of mainland participants and stock connect flows, while automakers are also pressured amid reports that the UK is considering imposing tariffs on Chinese electric vehicle imports amid concerns that Beijing is flooding the market with state-subsidised cars.
US Equity Futures: Rangebound
- Pared early upside and returned to flat territory amid a lack of major fresh catalysts over the weekend and with ISM Services data due later, while the main scheduled highlight is the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.
European Equity Futures +0.3%
- Indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.0% on Friday.
Context
Holiday-thinned sessions carrying forward a dovish repricing of Fed expectations are a familiar pattern: thin liquidity tends to exaggerate the follow-through from the prior session's rates move, and the rally in rate-sensitive tech is the standard expression of front-end yields easing after a soft labour print. The Nikkei's outsized gain relative to regional peers fits the established dynamic in which Japanese equities benefit disproportionately when US rate expectations fall and the yen's trajectory softens, while Korea's closure removes a competing pool of regional tech flows. The Hang Seng lagging on mainland absence and connect closure is typical of holiday weeks, and tariff headlines on Chinese EVs have historically pressured the automaker complex on the day without durable index-level damage unless formal measures follow. The distinction worth drawing is between a knee-jerk unwind of hike bets and a confirmed shift in the policy path: the former frequently retraces when the next data point or Fed communication pushes back, which is precisely what makes the ISM Services print and the FOMC Minutes the binding events of the week. Minutes from a meeting held before the soft data have often read more hawkish than the market's new pricing, a recurring source of two-way risk in the front end and the dollar.
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