[MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY pauses after gaining on several factors including higher yields, strong data and hawkish Fed speak
[MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY pauses after gaining on several factors including higher yields, strong data and hawkish Fed speak
Honda (7267 JT) plans a nearly USD 2.5bln hybrid vehicle plant in the US
Iran's Foreign Ministry criticises Canadian PM Carney's comments justifying US President Trump's war-like statements against Iran
Open the platform and use it. The whole workspace is free to try, with no signup and no card. When you want the headlines arriving live instead of on a delay, Newsquawk Pro is £24.99 for 7 days.
DXY: Flat
- Pauses overnight after gaining yesterday alongside sharp rises in global yields, stronger-than-expected US data, and growing economic pressure for Europe and APAC FX if the US goes ahead with a US diesel export ban, while further Fed speak pointed towards another hike, with Governor Barr noting that further rate hikes are likely needed to ensure a timely return to the 2% inflation target.
EUR/USD: Flat
- Lingers near a monthly low following its recent slide beneath the 1.1400 handle and following recent comments from ECB officials that noted there was no major wage response, nor second-round effects from the energy shock.
GBP/USD: Flat
- Lacks demand after slumping to sub-1.3300 territory alongside the prior day's underperformance in cyclical currencies and with headwinds following the reports of a potential US diesel export ban.
USD/JPY: -0.2%
- Pulled back beneath the 158.00 level overnight as Japanese participants returned to the market for the first time this week and with Japanese yields rising across the curve.
Antipodeans: AUD/USD Flat / NZD/USD +0.1%
- Price action is range-bound following recent underperformance and with AUD/USD indecisive after mixed jobs data in which headline Employment Change topped forecast, but was solely due to part-time work, while the Unemployment Rate slightly increased to its highest in around 5 years and coincided with a higher Participation Rate.
This is a consolidated recap of a broad dollar bid rather than fresh news, and episodes of this kind share a recognisable anatomy: a rising US front end and hawkish-leaning Fed commentary widen rate differentials against the low-yielders and the energy importers, while the dollar's role as the funding and trade currency compounds the move once growth scares outside the US enter the picture. The distinction worth drawing in the note is between the drivers: the yield and Fed-speak component reprices the front end differential in a way that tends to persist, whereas the reported diesel export ban angle hits Europe and APAC through the trade and energy-balance channel and is far more binary, reversing sharply if the policy does not materialise. On the crosses, the pattern is familiar: the euro's slide on officials downplaying wage pass-through echoes past cycles where central banks diverging on second-round effects sustained multi-week trends, and yen pullbacks when Japanese participants return after holidays alongside rising domestic yields have historically been partial and tactical, not a break of the broader trend, given the persistence of the policy gap. The Australian jobs print, a headline beat composed entirely of part-time work with a rising unemployment rate on higher participation, is the kind of mixed release that markets have typically looked through after an initial wobble, treating the unemployment rate as the cleaner signal. Follow-ons are further Fed commentary for whether the hawkish framing reflects the committee's centre of gravity, any confirmation or denial on the export ban, and whether global yields continue to lead or stall at these levels. As an overnight digest the note carries no new information; the signal is in which of the three drivers proves durable.
Related headlines
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] T-note futures are subdued, while JGBs gapped lower following global bond turmoil1 hour ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices slightly pulled back after rallying yesterday in the absence of substantial US-Iran progress and amid conflicting reports of a US diesel export ban1 hour ago
- [MARKET UPDATE] Asia-Pac stocks begin mixed following the recent global bond rout, while Japanese markets reopen from the long weekend and play catch-up to the prior tech momentum3 hours ago
- [MARKET UPDATE] 10yr JGB futures are down nearly 70 ticks after reopening for the first time this week and following the global surge in yields on Wednesday3 hours ago
- [Market Update] Crude and diesel futures move lower following reports that the Trump administration is preparing a plan to ban exports of diesel for 90 days; dollar strength continues after the report10 hours ago
- [UPDATED] UN General Assembly Schedule: Trump to meet with Pakistan PM11 hours ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Asia-Pac stocks trade mixed amid diplomacy optimism and the looming Trump-Xi summit1 day ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Dollar remains firmer amid ongoing rate hike expectations and despite the decline in oil1 day ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] T-note futures are mildly higher after the recent decline in oil prices, while supply looms1 day ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices are subdued amid hopes for diplomacy following US-Iran talks1 day ago
- [MARKET UPDATE] Asia-Pac stocks begin mostly higher following a recent decline in oil prices and some optimism regarding diplomacy after US envoys had a 'very productive' meeting with the Iranian delegation on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly1 day ago
- US Market Wrap: Bond yields rally, weighing on stocks amid a plethora of factors7 hours ago
- European Market Wrap - 23rd September 202613 hours ago
- Newsquawk Daily US Opening News - 23rd September 202617 hours ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Trump touts diesel export ban; US-Iran and Russia-Ukraine talks in focus18 hours ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed falters once more as energy climbs18 hours ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] European equities trade mixed as Trump considers diesel export pause; Swiss Upper House backs 90% CET1 foreign unit backing by UBS18 hours ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY continues to move higher, weighing on G10 peers19 hours ago
- Newsquawk Daily European Opening News - 23rd September 202621 hours ago
- US Market Wrap: Oil prices drop, stocks mixed as Trump says US-Iran meeting was very productive1 day ago
The whole workspace, free to try.
Try it free