[MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed income benchmarks are slightly softer, amid the upbeat tone in Asia

Newsquawk Staff · 9 Nov 2026, 02:26 UTC

UST Futures are lower by a couple of ticks and return below the 107-04 price point seen before the strong jobs report. To recap, the headline figure beat estimates (165K vs Exp. 65K), while the unemployment rate ticked lower to 4.1%. Market pricing sees a 79% chance of a hike in December.
Bund Futures follow their US counterpart lower and briefly slipped below the 123.00 handle. ECB President Lagarde gave comments to Japanese press, in which she said inflation would remain elevated in the coming quarters.
JGB Futures continue to fall from the 128.39 peak seen in Friday’s session, currently residing at the lower end of its 127.51-127.82 range.

What our morning note said

US Market Open, 6 Nov, 10:48 UTC · what it led with

APAC stocks were pressured; KOSPI slumped 6% following hefty losses in Samsung and SK Hynix.
USD is firmer against all G10 peers awaiting the US NFP report.

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FX headlines from our feed, and what the market did next.

Iranian President Pezeshkian says the Supreme Leader has granted the government some authority on dialogue, ISNA reports.
EUR/USD+0.1%
ECB policymakers see a December rate hike followed by a pause; New ECB staff estimates show the rise in bond yields cutting growth by a cumulative 100bps and inflation by 90bps in 2027-28 vs the September baseline, according to reports, citing sources.
EUR/USD−0.1%
ECB President Lagarde (Q&A) says policymakers believe they are in a good position to wait for incoming information. The situation they are in could have warranted a hike.
EUR/USD+0.1%

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