[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices edge higher amid risks of escalation when Trump returns from Beijing

Oil prices are rising amid heightened geopolitical tensions surrounding President Trump's potential return to military action against Iran.

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[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices edge higher amid risks of escalation when Trump returns from Beijing

Iran's Ambassador to Belarus criticises US negotiation stance and says Trump's excessive ambitions hinder US-Iran talks, according to TASS

US President Trump says current Iran leaders are more reasonable and Iran has a lot of inner turmoil, adds not going to be much more patient on Iran, according to a Fox News Interview

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WTI/Brent: WTI Jun'26 +1.0% / Brent Jul'26 +1.0%

  • Oil gradually edged higher amid risks of geopolitical escalation when US President Trump returns from his Beijing trip, as a report noted that Washington informed Tel Aviv of the possibility that Trump could order strikes inside Iran, while Israeli officials were said to remain on high alert this weekend in case Trump decided to resume the war. Furthermore, Trump said in an interview on Fox News that it's just a question of time regarding Iran and that he is not going to be much more patient on Iran.

Gold: -0.8%

  • Retreated amid higher yields and a firmer buck, while the downside also coincided with firm losses in silver, which breached below the USD 81/oz level.

Copper: -3.1%

  • Declined as the overnight risk sentiment deteriorated, despite the previous constructive headlines from the Trump-Xi summit.
Context

This situation could lead to further instability in the Middle East, impacting supply dynamics and driving oil prices higher, while other commodities like gold and copper are reacting negatively to this increased risk. Traders should monitor these developments closely as they can have significant implications for energy markets and broader risk sentiment.

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