[MARKET ANALYSIS] Uneventful trade across FX whilst AUD awaits the RBA

The FX market is showing a generally subdued trading environment as participants await the RBA's upcoming rate decision.

Newsquawk StaffPublished 5 May 2026, 02:08 UTCOn the live feed at 01:48 UTC — 2 more headlines followed before this page went public

Newsquawk headlinesUTC

01:50

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude pulls back following yesterday's surge; geopolitical updates light

01:49

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Bonds take a breather following prior day's selloff

01:48

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Uneventful trade across FX whilst AUD awaits the RBA

01:47

[MARKET ANALYSIS] APAC stocks follow the losses from the US; Japan, China and South Korea closed amid holidays

01:30

Australian Household Spending YoY (Mar) Y/Y 6.3% (Prev. 4.6%)

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DXY trades flat with a mild upside bias as it edged above the 98.50 market before encountering some resistance at 98.55.
EUR/USD is uneventful in a narrow 1.1680-93 parameter with fresh catalysts from the bloc light.
GBP/USD also takes a breather following yesterday’s USD-induced losses, with the pair in a tight 1.3516-1.3535 range vs yesterday’s 1.3512 low.
USD/JPY is calm thus far in the APAC session, but the pair meanders just under what seems like a line in the sand around the 157.30 mark, with Japanese participants awaiting until May 6th.
Antipodeans tilt modestly lower amid their high-beta properties and the overall downbeat mood, with the AUD looking ahead to the RBA rate decision at 05:30 BST in which a rate hike is expected, whilst the presser at 06:30 BST will be digested for any split in views alongside the deliberations ahead of the announcement.

Context

The AUD is particularly in focus, with expectations for a rate hike creating a cautious optimism that could influence the currency's movement post-announcement. Given the overall lack of significant catalysts in other pairs, any divergence in messaging from the RBA could lead to notable volatility across AUD and related cross-rates.

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