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[MARKET ANALYSIS] USD continues to attract haven bid; Scandis/Antipodeans underperform

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[MARKET ANALYSIS] USD continues to attract haven bid; Scandis/Antipodeans underperform

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  • G10s are weaker against the Buck as the risk-off mood continues into Micron earnings this evening. Antipodeans lag, as aussie digests mixed CPI, JPY fluctuates either side of unchanged, and EMs are getting hit.
  • Markets are reluctant to buy the dip in equities after losses on Tuesday. As such, the Buck continues to firm as the preferred haven, with USD outperformance vs Scandis and Antipodeans with liquidity lower. Traditional havens fare better against the Buck, JPY steady at the lower end of its recent ranges, while CHF continues its downward trend. For US-specifics, the highlight of the session will be the Fed Bank Stress Test Report alongside Micron earnings - both due after the close. DXY trades at the upper end of its 101.35-101.68 range, higher by 0.2%.
  • Barclays sees a moderate dollar​-​buying by month​-​end against most majors, with a weak sign on USDJPY.
  • Aussie data was mixed, CPI in May cooled below expectations, and the trimmed mean firming in line with most forecasts to 0.4% M/M and 3.6% Y/Y. The report noted housing was the main inflation pressure point, and Westpac analysis notes price pressures are broadening, particularly within services. As such, with the recent energy related prices pressures set to linger, the RBA will be keenly monitoring signs of sticky inflation with the bank widely expected to have concluded tightening. AUD faring better than Kiwi (AUD/NZD +0.1%), but lower against the Buck as the mixed data does not provide a bias towards any future easing/tightening; Labour market data ahead.
  • EUR and GBP are lacklustre and tracking the firmer Buck. Domestic catalysts light for both regions, though some continued incrementally optimistic updates from a likely incoming Burnham premiership which has helped GBP. EUR/GBP trades a whisker away from the 200 week moving average @ 0.8602 which is also the session low. For the EUR, recent Governing Council commentary remains hawkish, though nothing deviating too much from the statement at June’s meeting aside from Lagarde's comments early this week. 

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