Newsquawk Daily Bond Auction Preview - 30th September 2026
Newsquawk Daily Bond Auction Preview - 30th September 2026
Iranian government spokesperson says Foreign Minister Araghchi presented President Pezeshkian with a US proposal following his New York trip, which included discussions on Iran’s conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, IRNA reports
[MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude remains subdued but as US-Iran negotiations struggle for progress; gold firms as yields ease
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Germany to sell EUR 5.5bln 3.00% 2036 Bund
Analysis:
- Currently, the 10yr yield trades at 3.56%, coming off the peak of 3.65% seen on Monday.
- Global fixed income continues to be driven by the price action in energy. A lack of a deal between the US and Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz is keeping energy prices at elevated levels; however, Iranian FM Araghchi recently confirmed that they have received a US proposal regarding Iran's seven-point proposal.
- Keeping EUR rates higher is also the recent rise in inflation across the EZ. Spanish HICP topped 5% Y/Y, while the French figure printed at 3.4%, hotter than the 3.1% expected. Ahead of the Nationwide figure, the State CPIs out of Germany also rose across all states, indicating a rise in the mainland later today. In terms of market pricing for the ECB, 24bps of hikes is expected by year-end, while the implied rate is expected to top 3.27% by July 2027.
Recent History:
- 3.00% 2036: b/c 1.47x, average yield 3.39%, retention 23.62%.
Results due shortly after the 10:30BST bidding deadline
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