Newsquawk Daily Economic Releases - 13th August 2026
Newsquawk Staff ·
- Data: UK GDP (Jun/Q2), Trade Balance (Jun), Swedish/Spanish Inflation Final (Jul), EU Industrial Production (Jun), US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/08), PPI (Jul)
- Events: Norges Bank Policy Announcement (Aug)
- Speakers: Fed's Hammack, Barkin; Norges Bank's Bache
- Supply: US
- Earnings: Applied Materials, RWE, Antofagasta, Maersk
What it means
The session is a classic mid-month cluster: UK monthly GDP and the first read on the second quarter, euro-area industrial production, and the US pairing of PPI with weekly claims, with the Norges Bank decision as the only policy event. The UK print carries the heavier information load, since monthly GDP plus the quarterly first estimate together set the direction of travel for Bank of England pricing; soft second-quarter sequences have tended to steepen the front end of the gilt curve, with the monthly profile within the quarter mattering as much as the headline. US PPI in the same week as the CPI cycle matters chiefly for its pipeline components, which feed the PCE translation models used to bridge to the Fed's preferred gauge, and a divergence between PPI and the earlier consumer print is the pattern that has historically caused the most cross-asset confusion. Norges Bank meetings in this part of the cycle have been hold-dominated affairs where the rate path projection, not the decision itself, does the NOK work, and guidance language has moved the currency more than the rate call on most recent occasions. The claims series in early August warrants attention given its past sensitivity to seasonal adjustment noise around mid-year, a recurring caveat rather than a signal in itself. The earnings slate, with a semiconductor capital equipment name alongside European utility and commodity producers, offers the usual single-stock read-throughs rather than anything macro-binding.
Sources
- CRUDE WRAP: WTI (Z6) SETTLES USD 0.67 LOWER AT 97.15/BBL; BRENT (X6) SETTLES USD 0.03 HIGHER AT USD 108.82/BBL
- [MARKET UPDATE] Risk-on trade seen at 12:39EDT/17:39BST with desks citing OFAC authorising offloading of some cargo involving some blocked vessels; Downside in oil, equity futures hit new session highs, gold and bonds rallied, while USD saw pressure
- Auction History: US Treasury to sell USD 13bln of 20-year bonds on 21st October; to settle on 22nd October
- Newsquawk Daily US Conference Calendar - 22nd October 2026: MSFT
- Newsquawk Daily Economic Releases - 21st October 2026
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