No strikes or explosions reported in Qeshm, and sounds usually related to warning shots.

Reports of explosions or strikes around the Strait of Hormuz have in past episodes triggered knee-jerk risk premia in crude, only for the move to fade once the reports are attributed to routine enforcement rather than kinetic escalation; warning shots at vessels violating regulations are a recurring feature of Iranian maritime practice in the strait and have historically produced exactly this pattern of initial alarm followed by retracement. The distinction that has mattered in comparable episodes is between enforcement activity against commercial shipping and actual attacks on vessels or infrastructure: the former leaves physical flows untouched, the latter reprices freight, war-risk insurance, and prompt crude spreads through the supply-risk channel rather than any change in fundamentals. A denial of strikes from local sources fits the established sequence in which unverified reports surface, officials or local actors push back, and the premium bleeds out absent corroboration. What is worth watching is whether any vessel-tracking or insurance-market data confirms disruption, whether tanker traffic through the strait shows hesitation, and whether any official Iranian or US statement follows, since that is where false alarms have historically been distinguished from genuine incidents. Absent confirmation of physical damage or interdiction, the precedent here is for the headline to decay rather than compound.