PBOC Governor China says the open market overnight reverse repo rate will correspondingly become the main policy rate; will pilot further facilitation of RMB purchases and sales by overseas financial institutions in the onshore foreign exchange market.
Rates and central banks
About 3 hours before this headline, our morning note said:
BoE Governor Bailey was among the delegates who walked out of the IMFC meeting in Bangkok as Russian Finance Minister Siluanov spoke.
PBoC Governor Pan backed closer IMF surveillance of fiscal risks in major advanced economies and said China opposes all forms of protectionism.
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- The transformation of the monetary policy framework is a gradual and ongoing process, and the PBoC will continue to evaluate and improve it.
What it means
1 min readElevating the overnight reverse repo rate to anchor status continues the PBoC's multi-year effort to simplify a framework that has long run several reference points in parallel, with the medium-term lending facility rate having served as the de facto policy signal and loan prime rate benchmark. The established sequence in transitions of this kind is that the legacy instrument is first de-emphasised as a signal, then its volumes shrink, and the short rate plus the standing facility corridor around it takes over the transmission work; money market rates are left to trade more tightly around the anchor while the curve beyond the front end prices off expectations of where the anchor goes. The practical tells are how the lending facility's role is wound down, whether the corridor is narrowed or adjusted, and how the loan prime rate is re-anchored, since that is the channel through which policy reaches bank lending. On the currency side, letting overseas institutions deal more freely in onshore FX is incremental internationalisation plumbing of a kind the PBoC has rolled out in pilot form before: it widens CNY liquidity provision and narrows the onshore-offshore basis rather than signalling anything about the desired level of the exchange rate. Worth watching is the follow-through in official communiqués and the central bank's daily fixing and open market operations, which remain the clearest read on intent. This is framework plumbing rather than a shift in the policy stance; the signal is about how policy is transmitted, not where rates are headed.
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY steadies following Friday's decline; JPY unreactive to Ueda commentary, AUD overlooks Chinese activity data
- PBoC injected CNY 80bln via 7-day reverse repos at an unchanged rate of 1.40%
- PBoC sets USD/CNY midpoint at 6.7208 vs exp. 6.6897 (prev. 6.7220)
- PBoC is expected to set USD/CNY mid-point at 6.6897 (Prev. 6.7220)
- Week in Focus 19-23rd October 2026: Highlights include UK, Japan and Canada inflation, China Activity Data and Global Flash PMIs
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