PRIMER - Today’s Fedspeak includes: Williams, Musalem, Bowman, Schmid, Logan
Every headline is on the live feed 20 minutes before this site.
Energy Transfer (ET) to acquire Vaquero Midstream in a USD 2.625bln transaction
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PRIMER - Today’s Fedspeak includes: Williams, Musalem, Bowman, Schmid, Logan
Ecuador's state oil company said it has resumed oil shipments via the SOTE pipeline
[MARKET UPDATE]: Dollar slides and stocks gain on no clear headline driver but comes amid lower energy prices and yields
On the Newsquawk feed at , 20 minutes before this page.
- 14:05BST/09:05EDT: Fed’s Williams (voter) moderates a panel discussion. Speaking last week, Williams said there was no urgency for the Fed’s next rate hike, with one further increase possibly appropriate late this year to return inflation to its 2% target. He expects inflation to end the year around 3.5% before returning to target in 2028. Traders pared bets on an October hike following his remarks.
- 15:40BST/10:40EDT: Fed’s Musalem (2028 voter) delivers opening remarks. Speaking last week, Musalem described the economy as very strong, with the AI capex boom fuelling demand pressure, which is driving about half of current inflation, adding that policy remains somewhat accommodative after the last hike and long-run inflation expectations are consistent with 2%. He also said that central bankers need not make promises but should explain how and why policy decisions are made.
- 15:45BST/10:45EDT: Fed’s Bowman (voter) speaks on financial regulation and supervision. Speaking last week on policy, Bowman said there is no urgent need for further rate moves this year. On supervision, speaking in mid-September, she said the Fed will vote in the coming weeks on a final overhaul of its bank stress test, which will disclose models, equations, variables and more scenario details. She added the Fed expects to finish Basel and globally systemic bank capital rule changes by year-end.
- 18:15BST/13:15EDT: Fed’s Schmid (2028 voter) participates in a fireside chat. Speaking last week, Schmid said there is work to do on inflation, with energy prices among the biggest challenges for monetary policy. He added that the relentless rise in long-term interest rates is starting to affect more parts of the economy, including multifamily housing, commercial lending and home prices.
- 00:00BST/19:00EDT: Fed’s Logan (2026 voter) moderates an event at the Dallas Fed. Speaking last week, Logan said the policy rate needs to rise by an additional 50bps+, warning inflation will not reach the 2% goal without higher rates. She added that policy is not sufficiently restrictive, growth is gaining momentum and the labour market remains well balanced, while higher term premiums may partly reflect higher yields and lessen the need for tightening.
Context
A five-speaker Fed day is heavy even by the standards of a dense communications calendar, and the distribution of views across the roster is itself the story: remarks span from no urgency on further tightening through to an explicit call for additional increases, a spread that historically reads as a committee still debating the endpoint rather than executing a settled path. In past episodes of this kind, the market-moving weight has sat with permanent voters and the chair-adjacent voices over the out-year alternates, so Williams carries more signal for the front end than the 2028 voters regardless of how forceful the latter sound. The case distinction worth drawing is between hike-calling hawks and wait-and-see moderates: when both speak on the same day, the net repricing of near-term meeting odds has tended to be small unless one side visibly shifts the perceived median. Note also the non-rate channel: commentary on the stress test overhaul and Basel finalisation is supervision material that transmits through bank equity and funding spreads rather than the policy curve, and long-rate commentary from the hawkish side feeds the term premium debate at the back end. The follow-ons are whether officials converge on common language through the remainder of the week and how the remarks condition positioning into the next inflation and labour prints.
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