RBNZ's Breman says inflation may have already peaked; seeing the economy rebounding now as oil prices fall

Newsquawk Staff · 8 Jul 2026, 03:27 UTC

We are gradually moving rates towards neutral.
Neutral rate is uncertain, with the range of 2.5-3.5%.
Bringing inflation back down is needed to bring back demand.
Felt it was needed that uncertainty has increased on rate timing.

What our latest note said

US Market Open, 22 Oct, 10:37 UTC · what it led with

Iran's IRGC Navy warned that US efforts to encourage passage could result in strikes on US bases.
Iran's Major General Rezaei said Iran has presented seven new conditions through mediators and will neither reopen the Strait of Hormuz nor resume negotiations until they are met.

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Headlines that moved markets

Headlines from our feed, and what the market did next.

Fed Governor Waller (Voter) Q&A: With CPI and PPI in hand, have a pretty accurate view of PCE inflation; there is little cost to waiting one meeting.
10yr UST futures+0.1%
A ceasefire between the US and Iran has been agreed upon, it includes free navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and will be announced in the coming days, reports Ria citing Pakistani and Iranian sources
10yr UST futures+0.1%
Iran and US talks continue, and reports that the deal is close are wrong.
WTI crude+1.5%

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