Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov says there has been no tangible benefit for Russia from dialogue with the US and none is expected

Statements of this kind from the Russian foreign minister fit a long-established pattern in which Moscow frames dialogue as fruitless to shift the onus onto Washington, and such rhetoric has historically preceded either escalation in negotiating posture or an eventual return to contact rather than a permanent rupture.

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The distinction worth drawing is between signalling for domestic and negotiating consumption and an actual change in channels: rhetoric alone has tended to fade quickly, whereas a suspension of working-level contacts has been the more durable tell. Past episodes of deteriorated US-Russia communication have filtered through to markets mainly via the energy complex, where Russian supply and sanction risk feed directly into crude and European gas premia, with gold and the dollar picking up the residual haven flow and the euro underperforming on regional exposure. The reporter's questions are whether any counterpart language comes from the US side, whether scheduled diplomatic engagements are cancelled or merely criticised, and whether the framing hardens into policy such as sanctions or export measures. Absent that follow-through, single remarks of this kind have rarely held a market move beyond the session.

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