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SanDisk (SNDK) says higher NAND prices are pressuring entry-level devices and these two calendar quarters right now are really the trough

Newsquawk Staff ·

SanDisk (SNDK) says higher NAND prices are pressuring entry-level devices and these two calendar quarters right now are really the trough.

What it means

Pricing commentary from a memory maker lands in a well-worn cycle pattern: NAND and DRAM have historically run through multi-quarter glut phases where contract pricing bottoms before spot, and management calls of a trough have often arrived one to two quarters early rather than precisely on the turn. The useful distinction here is between the trough in pricing and the trough in revenue: costs rising on higher NAND input prices squeezing entry-level device margins is the classic late-downcycle signature, where upstream prices firm while downstream demand is still too weak to pass them through, compressing the OEM middle. Peers in the memory complex have tended to confirm or refute such calls quickly through capex discipline and wafer start cuts, which are the real lever on whether a trough holds. What typically resolves the question is the contract price settlement cadence and inventory days at the module and device makers, not the commentary itself. As a single-issuer remark it reads as sentiment for the memory peer set rather than a verified inflection; the follow-ons are competitor guidance and channel inventory data rather than anything company-specific.

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