Sell-side PCE calls post-CPI

Newsquawk Staff · 14 Jul 2026, 13:51 UTC

Pantheon Macroeconomics: "We provisionally estimate the core PCE deflator rose by 0.16% in June, allowing the inflation rate to drop to 3.3%, from 3.4% in May."
Oxford Economics: "Our preliminary nowcast of the PCE index calls for a 0.2% m/m decline in the headline index and a 0.1% increase in the core index."

What our latest note said

US Market Open, 22 Oct, 10:37 UTC · what it led with

Iran's IRGC Navy warned that US efforts to encourage passage could result in strikes on US bases.
Iran's Major General Rezaei said Iran has presented seven new conditions through mediators and will neither reopen the Strait of Hormuz nor resume negotiations until they are met.

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Australian Employment Change (Jul) -15.8K vs. Exp. 15K (Prev. 76.3K)
AUD/USD−0.3%
Iran and US talks continue, and reports that the deal is close are wrong.
WTI crude+1.5%
Mediation efforts said that "Qatar and Pakistan presented a 'compromise proposal' that meets the demands of both the American and Iranian sides", Al Araby Al Jadeed reports citing sources.
WTI crude−4.6%

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