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SNB's Schlegel says inflationary pressure in September was slightly higher than in June

Newsquawk Staff ·

SNB's Schlegel says inflationary pressure in September was slightly higher than in June.

What it means

Remarks of this kind from the SNB chair typically matter through the franc and the front end of the CHF curve rather than through any immediate policy signal, since the bank has historically been reluctant to pre-commit between quarterly meetings. Comparing one print against an earlier quarter is standard SNB framing for calibrating whether inflation sits within the target band, and a characterization of pressure as only slightly higher reads as the bank staying comfortable rather than shifting stance, consistent with its track record of tolerating low prints before acting. The case distinction worth drawing is between inflation firming on domestic services, which would argue against further easing, and firming driven by a weaker franc raising import costs, which the SNB has historically addressed through the exchange rate channel as readily as through rates. The follow-ons are whether other Governing Board members echo the wording and how it sits against the next quarterly assessment, where the conditional inflation forecast, not any single monthly comparison, has been the decisive input. As commentary rather than a decision, the signal is directional and second-tier.

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