Some sources report that Iranian missiles were fired at American bases in the region, Tasnim reports; This news has not yet been officially confirmed

The distinction that has mattered in comparable episodes is whether the strike is framed as symbolic and telegraphed, typically preceded by warning that limits casualties and gives Washington an off-ramp, or whether American personnel are killed, which historically has forced a direct military response and reset escalation expectations for weeks. Transmission runs through crude first via the risk premium on Gulf supply and shipping insurance rather than physical disruption, with gold, front-month futures, and havens the usual kneejerk, and equities tending to retrace quickly in episodes that stop short of casualties. The tells are confirmation from US Central Command or the Pentagon, casualty reporting, whether Iranian state media claim responsibility or leave it unattributed, and any movement of air defences or force posture at the named bases. Absent official confirmation, the report sits in the category of headline risk that has frequently faded within hours.