Swiss SNB Interest Rate Decision 0.00% vs. Exp. 0% (Prev. 0.00%); Remains ready to intervene in the FX market if needed

A hold at the zero bound leaves the SNB's live instrument as the balance sheet and the franc rather than the policy rate, and the reaffirmed readiness to intervene is the operative line: it is the channel through which the bank has historically managed imported disinflation when rate room is exhausted.

Newsquawk StaffPublished On the live feed at , 20 minutes before this page
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Swiss SNB Interest Rate Decision 0.00% vs. Exp. 0% (Prev. 0.00%); Remains ready to intervene in the FX market if needed

H&M (HMB SS) says Western Europe remains a key pressure point with cautious consumers and elevated promotional activity, particularly in Germany and the UK, local currency sales grew in every other region

Chinese Foreign Minister says the Strait of Hormuz conflict must be resolved through dialogue and calls on all parties to seek a peaceful solution, Al Arabiya reports

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  • Medium-term inflationary pressure has increased only slightly.
  • Main risk to the economic outlook stems from the developments in the global economy.
Context

The phrasing that medium-term inflationary pressure has risen only slightly, paired with global growth as the main risk, is the standard conditional framing the SNB has used to keep both directions open without committing to either. The distinction worth drawing is between verbal intervention readiness and actual franc-selling operations: the former has typically been enough to lean against appreciation at the margin, while sustained episodes of safe-haven inflow have on past occasions required visible balance-sheet expansion to shift the exchange rate. Rate differentials against the ECB remain the dominant driver of EUR/CHF, so the relative path matters more than the SNB's stance in isolation. The follow-ons are the inflation forecast revisions underpinning the statement, any shift in intervention language from readiness to activity, and sight deposit data as the tell for whether words have become operations.

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