Two regional sources told Axios that in recent days Iran has shown renewed interest in negotiations, Axios reports

Sourced to regional intermediaries rather than principals, this sits in the familiar category of trial-balloon reporting that has preceded most rounds of US-Iran contact in past episodes: feelers relayed through third parties, deniable on both sides, and prone to stalling before any formal channel opens. On previous occasions of this kind, crude has tended to price a modest peace-premium unwind on the headline alone, concentrated in the front of the curve, but that move has historically reversed quickly when follow-through failed to materialise, since the supply that matters is barrels already flowing under sanctions workarounds rather than any immediate change in exports. The distinction worth drawing is between interest in talks and acceptance of terms: prior cycles have repeatedly produced the former without the latter, and the spread between the two is where headline-driven fades have been made and lost. The actors' form is well established, with Iran signalling openness when under pressure and hardening again once the immediate risk recedes. The follow-ons are confirmation from either capital, any movement on enrichment or sanctions sequencing, and whether mediator channels produce a venue and date rather than more sourcing. As secondhand reporting of intent rather than an event, the signal is soft.