UBS expects the Fed to deliver two 25bps cuts in September and December (prev. saw cuts in June and September)

Context

UBS's updated expectation of two rate cuts by the Fed in September and December, instead of June and September, suggests a shift towards a more cautious approach in monetary policy. This indicates they may foresee inflationary pressures easing, affecting the interest rate outlook which could lead to a weaker USD in response. Investors should consider how this revision might impact fixed income markets and the broader forex landscape, particularly with USD pairs.

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